Anything But A Draw When Man Utd Take On Athletic Bilbao Again

By Sam Darby on 15/03/2012 12:39

Man Utd v Athletic Bilbao was a bit of a classic in the first leg with an end to end game resulting in a 3-2 win for Bilbao at Old Trafford and many will be tuning in for what should be another entertaining match here. We’ll find out exactly where the Europa League is in sir Alex Ferguson’s priorities and by looking through ValueChecker we can find the best bets for this match this evening.

The ValueChecker Value Bets suggest that the worst bet in this match is the draw because they have thrown up both teams to win as value bets. The best value outcome in this match according to ValueChecker is a home win for Bilbao, they are currently available at odds of 2.90 but ValueChecker makes the correct price something closer to 2.10 and that difference in odds means this bet has been given a value rating of 0.30. An away win is also value though it seems, a Man Utd win has been given a value rating of 0.18 with ValueChecker suggesting the correct price is 2.44 rather than 2.60 which means the home win still looks by far the best value according to the Value Bets.

The Man Utd ValueChecker wikis suggest that we could be in for yet another thrilling game here as over 3.5 goals looks to be a good bet here. Man Utd have proved good value in the over 3.5 goals betting when away to teams with an attacking mentality, for the last two seasons almost half of Man Utd’s away matches in the Premiership have had over 3.5 goals, a great ratio for a bet that comes with pretty generous odds usually.

The draw might be the least likely full time result in this match according to the ValueChecker Value Bets but according to the Man Utd ValueChecker wikis it could be the most likely half time result in this match. Man Utd have a strong record of going in at half time all square in recent years, last season in the Premiership Man Utd were drawing ten games at half time away from home (they were winning four at half time and losing five) whilst the season before Man Utd once again went in at half time with ten draws, that season they were winning six matches at half time on the road and losing just three. With a close game expected here the half time draw looks a good bet.

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