Chelsea Likely To Miss Drogba When Man Utd Come To Town

By Sam Darby on 03/02/2012 10:17

Chelsea v Man Utd looks to be the pick of this weekend’s Premiership action and you can be sure it will be one of the most popular betting events over the weekend. What do the ValueChecker tools make of Sunday’s match?

One outcome in this match has been highlighted by the ValueChecker Value Bets and that is Man Utd to win this match. According to the ValueChecker Value Bets, which are based on a statistical analysis of previous results, Man Utd have been assigned a value rating of 0.30 as apparently the odds on Man Utd winning at Chelsea should be more like 2.12 than the 3.05 available at the time of writing.

One unusual bet that might appeal on Chelsea in this match, highlighted by the Chelsea ValueChecker wikis, could be Chelsea to get a penalty. Chelsea seem to get far more penalties than other Premiership teams, last season Chelsea gained six penalties whilst the season before they received a massive eleven penalties! This is a stat worth bearing in mind when selecting Chelsea goalscorers as well.

It is no surprise that Chelsea have struggled to score recently without the help of Didier Drogba who is away at the African Cup of Nations. Last season Drogba scored 11 goals and set up a huge 15 goals as well whilst the season before he was even more influential with 29 goals and 13 assists. His impact is not to be underestimated and you may want to consider low scoring Chelsea outcomes because of Drogba’s absence.

Man Utd backers will be happy to see the Man Utd ValueChecker wikis show that Man Utd are a great team to back against the better teams in the league. Last season Man Utd gained 33 points against the teams that finished in the top half of the table which was the best record in the league and the season before Man Utd showed their consistency against the top teams by also picking up 33 points against top half teams. Chelsea are certainly a top half team so Man Utd could be good value here.

Man Utd may go on to win this game but as for the half time betting, a draw looks the most likely option. For the past two seasons in Man Utd’s away matches the draw has been the most common half time result, in both seasons Man Utd were drawing ten games at half time when away from home. Last season Man Utd held the lead in just four games at half time whilst the season before it was six.

The ValueChecker Wikis are proving a popular tool to find bets on a wide variety of events on ValueChecker and you can add to them by registering (just provide an email address and password) and sharing your knowledge.