Euro 2012 Group A Unlikely To Contain Too Many Goals

By Sam Darby on 18/04/2012 14:56

There should be some great betting opportunities in Euro 2012 Group A with some exciting matches in prospect and the ValueChecker wikis on each team in Euro 2012 Group A should show some of the best bets in the Group A matches.

The favourites for Group A are Russia and the Russia ValueChecker wikis show that Russia don’t look like a team that is going to be prolific in forthcoming matches. Russia may have scored seventeen goals in ten matches during qualification for Euro 2012 but in six games they either didn’t score or scored just one goal. Those will be amongst the easier competitive matches they have, at major finals the opposition defences should be much better, and Russia look a decent bet to either fail to score or to score just once in most competitive matches, depending on the strength of the opposition.

The goals markets in Russia games could throw up some profitable bets in forthcoming games. In Euro 2012 qualifying seven of Russia’s ten games had under 2.5 goals which is a fair pointer towards this bet but it is worth noting that six games had under 1.5 goals. Under 1.5 goals is often a much better price than under 2.5 goals so it should be worth the extra risk in backing under 1.5 in Russia games unless against high scoring opposition.

Russia also look unlikely to concede many goals in the second half of matches. During Russia’s ten Euro 2012 qualifying matches they kept clean sheets in the second half of nine of those matches. Look towards pre match bets and in running bets that feature a clean sheet for Russia in the second half of their competitive matches.

Czech Republic are slightly less fancied than Poland in the Group A Odds and in the Czech Republic matches there could be some good value in the goalscorer betting according to the Czech Republic ValueChecker wikis. During Euro 2012 qualifying Czech Republic had no outstanding goalscorer, in fact their top scorer was defender Michal Kadlec who scored four goals in ten games. Those goals were spread over three games and in those three games he scored the last goal of the match. Three of Kadlec’s goals came courtesy of the penalty spot and Kadlec should be good value to score last and anytime in games where Czech Republicare expected to score.

Czech Republic are a team with a decent defensive record. During qualification for Euro 2012 Czech Republic conceded eight goals, half of which were conceded in the two games against Spain. Czech Republic kept five clean sheets and won all the games where they kept clean sheets. That means five of their six wins were ‘to nil’ so if you are backing Czech Republic to win a match there may be better value in backing them to win the game to nil.

As for Greece in Group A, they look to have been a little overlooked by the bookies and they are another team in Group A with some strong ValueChecker wikis relating to low scores. The Greece ValueChecker wikis show that Greece have never been a team who score many goals, as we saw when a series of 1-0 wins led them to Euro 2004 glory. During qualifying for Euro 2012 Greece scored just fourteen goals in ten matches, no team that qualified had a worse goals to games ration than Greece. A huge proportion of their goals came in the second half of matches (three in the first halves, eleven in the second halves) so not only should you concentrate on outcomes that feature few goals for Greece, you should also look at outcomes and in running bets that feature Greece not scoring in the first half but perhaps scoring the second half.

Greece also don’t concede many goals, the reason they can be successful whilst scoring so few goals. Greece conceded just five goals in their ten qualifying matches for Euro 2012 and kept five clean sheets. They won four of the games in which they kept clean sheets. The fact that they scored and conceded so few goals meant under 2.5 goals was a winning bet in seven Greece qualifiers. Under 2.5 goals looks good in Greece games unless playing particularly high scoring opposition and if backing Greece to win, backing them to win to nil should offer better value.