Everton Could Be The Value Against Man City

By Sam Darby on 31/01/2012 13:31

League leaders Man City are in action on Tuesday night and they are almost evens to win despite facing a team that is currently in 14th place in the Premiership. Man City travel to Goodison Park to face Everton in search of another three points, will they continue to struggle as they have done in many recent games or will it be a convincing win? Let’s see what ValueChecker thinks of this game.

The ValueChecker Value Bets highlight Everton as a good bet in this match, the Value Bets are based on a statistical analysis of previous results and Man City’s recent struggles are clearly having a bearing on this, ValueChecker suggests that the current odds of 4.78 on Everton should actually be more like 2.20 and that different in odds means that Everton have been assigned a value rating of 0.34 in this match.

The ValueChecker Steamers have also been busy on this match, there has already been a move on Everton or Draw in the double chance betting. That means punters are effectively laying Man City to win this one which backs up the Value Bets opinion that Everton are good value in this match. The odds on Everton or Draw have shortened from 1.91 to 1.87 and that represents an average change in odds of 4%.

The Everton ValueChecker wikis also back up the theory that Everton might be good value in this match. Everton have a really good record against the bigger teams in the Premiership, last season Everton had the joint third best points haul in the league against top half opposition (28 points from 18 games) and they also did well the previous season having the fifth best record.

If you want to narrow down the bet options for this game then look at bets that involve Everton scoring once or twice. Last season Everton scored exactly one goal in twelve matches and exactly two goals in fourteen matches. That covered twenty six matches and the season before the same goal record covered twenty seven matches. Meanwhile if you think Everton will lose this match it should pay to go for Man City to win by a one goal margin. Everton are a tough team to beat and seven of their ten losses last season came by a one goal margin whilst the season before it was six out of nine.

Check out the Man City ValueChecker wikis for the best pointers on their best bets in tonight’s match and other games this season. The ValueChecker Wikis are proving a popular tool to find bets on a wide variety of events on ValueChecker and you can add to them by registering (just provide an email address and password) and sharing your knowledge.