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Football Value Bets



Southampton FC v Milton Keynes Dons
England: Johnstones Paint Trophy
Southampton FC
Statistical Odds: 1.28
Actual Odds: 2.2 2.2
Value Rating: 60.0%

Buxton v Frickley Athletic
England: UniBond Premier Division
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.5
Actual Odds: 3.5 3.5
Value Rating: 53.0%

Golden Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs
South Africa: Premier Soccer League
Kaizer Chiefs
Statistical Odds: 1.32
Actual Odds: 2 2
Value Rating: 52.0%

Vesoul v Paris Saint-Germain FC
France: Coupe de France
Vesoul
Statistical Odds: 1.88
Actual Odds: 8.4 8.4
Value Rating: 47.0%

Glentoran FC v Lisburn Distillery FC
Northern Ireland: IFA Premiership
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.85
Actual Odds: 7.6 7.6
Value Rating: 47.0%

Redditch United FC v Northwich
England: Blue Square North
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.68
Actual Odds: 3.6 3.6
Value Rating: 44.0%

Portsmouth v Sunderland
England: Premier League
Portsmouth
Statistical Odds: 1.55
Actual Odds: 2.5 2.5
Value Rating: 41.0%

Banbury United FC v Chippenham Town FC
England: Non League Premier Southern
Chippenham Town FC
Statistical Odds: 1.63
Actual Odds: 2.8 2.8
Value Rating: 40.0%

Crystal Palace FC v Swansea
England: Championship
Crystal Palace FC
Statistical Odds: 1.6
Actual Odds: 2.61 2.61
Value Rating: 39.0%

Northampton v Accrington Stanley
England: League 2
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.78
Actual Odds: 3.6 3.6
Value Rating: 39.0%

Boulogne Côte dOpale v Guingamp
France: Coupe de France
Guingamp
Statistical Odds: 1.88
Actual Odds: 4.2 4.2
Value Rating: 39.0%

Cheltenham v Burton Albion
England: League 2
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.8
Actual Odds: 3.5 3.5
Value Rating: 38.0%

Gateshead v Barrow FC
England: FA Trophy
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.85
Actual Odds: 3.75 3.75
Value Rating: 37.0%

Salisbury City FC v Cambridge Utd
England: FA Trophy
Cambridge Utd
Statistical Odds: 1.81
Actual Odds: 3.3 3.3
Value Rating: 36.0%

Wrexham v Tamworth FC
England: Blue Square Premier Conference League
Tamworth FC
Statistical Odds: 2
Actual Odds: 4.4 4.4
Value Rating: 35.0%

Cardiff City FC v Peterborough
England: Championship
Draw
Statistical Odds: 2
Actual Odds: 4.09 4.09
Value Rating: 34.0%

Derby v Newcastle
England: Championship
Derby
Statistical Odds: 2.04
Actual Odds: 4.4 4.4
Value Rating: 34.0%

Angers v Metz
France: Ligue 2
Draw
Statistical Odds: 1.85
Actual Odds: 3.25 3.25
Value Rating: 34.0%

Quevilly v Rennes
France: Coupe de France
Quevilly
Statistical Odds: 2.38
Actual Odds: 8.6 8.6
Value Rating: 34.0%

Odense BK v CSKA Moscow
Europe: Copa del Sol
Odense BK
Statistical Odds: 2.18
Actual Odds: 5.3 5.3
Value Rating: 33.0%

Watford FC v Bristol City FC
England: Championship
Bristol City FC
Statistical Odds: 1.98
Actual Odds: 3.7 3.7
Value Rating: 32.0%

Middlesbrough v Barnsley FC
England: Championship
Barnsley FC
Statistical Odds: 2.12
Actual Odds: 4.5 4.7
Value Rating: 32.0%

Darlington v Lincoln City
England: League 2
Darlington
Statistical Odds: 1.85
Actual Odds: 2.8 2.8
Value Rating: 29.0%

Maccabi T-A v Maccabi Netanya
Israel: Israel Toto Cup
Maccabi Netanya
Statistical Odds: 2.34
Actual Odds: 4.75 4.75
Value Rating: 27.0%

Honka v HJK Helsinki
Finland: Liigacup
Draw
Statistical Odds: 2.13
Actual Odds: 3.5 3.5
Value Rating: 26.0%

What is Value?

All the experts tell us that the way to make a consistent profit form betting is to find value picks. But what exactly is a value bet? You make a value bet by backing a selection at better odds than the selections chances of winning.

OK so I can find the best odds on Valuechecker Odds Comparison but...

How Do I Assess Chance?

Chance is a matter of opinion, often based on hours of form study. But if you haven’t the time to do this we’ve built a tool to help you find possible value bets based on a statistical analysis of past results.

Statistical Analysis?

That’s right. We look at a player or a teams past results in different ways to help us assess their chance of success.

We use all recent form, recent home and away form (if applicable), recent head to heads (if applicable) and recent head to heads at the ground where the match is taking place and things like form on the playing surface for tennis matches.

These match histories and other statistics like recent WLD form, goals scored & conceded and other stats are all available within the ValueChecker site by clicking on the Stats option on the menu above the event odds

We compare the our statistical odds (calculated from historical odds) to the BEST ODDS available to give an indication of possible VALUE PICKS. 

The value indicator is shown against each outcome so you can quickly see how the odds compare to our statistical analysis.

The selections with the highest value ratings then make up our Value Bets as listed on this page when you select from the menu bar above.
Value Bets
Steamers
Drifters