Over 2.5 Goals Looks A Good Bet For Wolves v Man City

By Sam Darby on 20/04/2012 11:53

Wolves have become the favourites to be relegated this season in recent weeks after a shocking run of results and there won’t be much hope for anything out of this game when a revitalised Man City come to the Midlands. Man City hit six in their last match and with Wolves struggling at the back there has to be a worry that this game could turn into a riot.

The Wolves ValueChecker wikis are predicting goals here, whether they all come for Man City or not. Wolves aren’t normally a team associated with a large amount of goals but in recent years Wolves have been one of the best teams to bet on in the over 2.5 goals betting when playing at home. Out of Wolves’ 18 home matches in the league in the 10/11 season there were over 2.5 goals on 13 occasions and the season before it was a similar story with 11 matches having over 2.5 goals. It often pays better odds to back overs rather than unders so this could be quite a profitable pointer.

If you did fancy Wolves to get a result at big odds you could boost the odds even further according to another of the Wolves ValueChecker wikis. Wolves don’t win a great amount of games in the Premiership but there is an interesting statistic about the games that they do win. In the 10/11 Premiership season 8 of Wolves’ 11 wins were by a 1 goal winning margin. In the 09/10 season Wolves won 9 league matches and 7 of them were by a 1 goal winning margin. There looks to be much more value in backing Wolves to win by one goal at bigger odds when they are fancied to win rather than just to beat the opposition.

Man City seem to be a better bet to beat teams like Wolves than teams at the top of the league according to the Man City ValueChecker wikis. Man City have a great record against the 'lesser' teams in the Premiership, in the 10/11 season no team gained more points against the bottom ten teams than Man City who picked up 49 points against the bottom half in 18 games. This sort of record was hinted at the previous season when City picked up 41 points against the bottom half, that was the fifth best record that year. City have clearly bought some very focused players who should offer more value to beat the bottom half teams than other top sides do.

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